Math 251 A         (L. Batakci)          Probability and Statistics     Fall 2007

 

Time & Place MWF 9:30-10:50 H 110

 

Instructor        Dr. Leyla Batakci; office Esbenshade 373; phone 361-1335; batakcil@etown.edu

 

Office Hours   T and Th 12:30-3:00, W 12:30-1:30, and by appointment.

 

Textbook        Introduction to the Practice of Statistics

by David S. Moore and George P. McCabe (5th edition). 

 

Prerequisites High school algebra.

 

Objectives      1. To learn basic facts and techniques of descriptive statistics, experimental design, probability, and statistical inference;

                        2. To develop an awareness and appreciation of the role of statistics in one’s environment and activities;

                        3. To develop the ability to comprehend and critically evaluate public surveys and scientific reports; and

                        4. To establish a foundation for advanced study and the application of statistics in one’s area of specialization.

 

Attendance     Students are expected to attend all classes. Excessive absences (more than five without legitimate reason, such as a serious, documented illness) may lead to dismissal from the course or a lower grade in class.

 

Blackboard     Important course information will be posted on the Blackboard web site for the course.  Instructions for logging on to the Blackboard site (http://blackboard.etown.edu) will be given in class.

 

Homework      A list of suggested homework problems will be given for each section covered.  Students are responsible for working through the suggested homework problems. Homework problems will not be collected or graded, but quiz and exam problems will closely resemble these problems.   The best way to prepare for quizzes and exams is to work through the suggested homework problems.

 

Projects           There will be three projects assigned during the term.  The projects will be collected and graded. These projects will involve use of the statistical techniques and concepts to solve problems that are longer and more realistic than routine homework exercises.  Projects will be completed with the aid of the statistical software package SPSS, and possibly other software (such as Web applets).

 

Quizzes           There will be five 30-minute quizzes given in class during the term (see tentative dates for the quizzes on the schedule).

Exams             There will be three 75-minute in-class exams and a comprehensive final

exam.  Make-up exams are only given in the event of emergency with

documentation. If you must miss an exam, please leave me a message

at the phone number or e-mail address above on or before the time of

exam.

Tentative Schedule of exams:

Exam 1:  September 21, Friday in class
Exam 2:  October 17, Wednesday in class
Exam 3:  November 19, Friday in class

Final Exam:  December 10, Monday at 7:30-10:30

 

Calculator       A scientific calculator capable of performing statistical operations is required.  Students are responsible for learning how to use their calculators, but the instructor will be available for help if necessary.

 

Grading           Grades will be computed on the basis of 770 possible points as follows:

 

                                    Projects                                    120 points (40 each)

                                    Quizzes                                    200 points (40 each)

                                    In-class exams                          300 points (100 each)

                                    Final exam                                150 points

                                    Total                                        770 points

                        Percentages of the total possible points will be converted to letter grades as follows:

                        93–100 A; 90–92 A–; 87–89 B+; 83–86 B; 80–82 B–; 77–79 C+; 73–76 C; 70–72 C–; 67–69 D+; 63–66 D; 60–62 D­–; below 60 F.

 

Disability:       We at Elizabethtown College wish to make accommodations for people with disabilities.  If you have a documented disability and need reasonable accommodations to fully participate in course activities or meet course requirements, you must (1) contact the Director of Disability Services, Shirley Deichert, in the Center of Student Success, BSC 288, (717) 361-1227, deichesa@etown.edu,  and (2) meet with me, the instructor, within two weeks of receiving a copy of the accommodation letter from Disability Services to discuss your accommodation needs and their implementation.

 

Integrity          The strength of the college depends on academic and personal integrity. All work must be one’s own and must comply with the Standard of Integrity defined in the Elizabethtown College Student Academic Program. Ethical violations include cheating on exams, plagiarism, reuse of assignments, improper use of Internet, unauthorized collaboration, alteration of graded assignments, forgery and falsification, lying, facilitating academic dishonesty, and unfair competition.

 

 

 

 

Ma251A                                                           Tentative Schedule/Fall 2007                                             Dr. Batakci                                                      

Monday

Wednesday

Friday

August  27

August 29

August 31

1.1 Displaying Distributions with Graphs 

1.1 Contd.

1.2 Describing Distributions with Numbers

1

2

3

September  3

September  5

September  7

LABOR DAY- No Classes

1.2. (continued)

1.3 (continued)

 

1.3 The Normal Curve

Quiz 1

 

4

5

September  10

September  12

September  14

2.1 Scatter Plots

2.3 Least Squares regression

2.4 Cautions About Regression &

2.2 Correlation

 

Correlation

                                       6

7

8

September  17

September  19

September  21

2.5 The Question of Causation

Review

EXAM 1

 

 

on chapters 1 and 2

9

10

11

September  24

September  26

September  28

3.1 First Steps in Producing Data

3.2 (continued)

3.3 (continued)

3.2 Design of Experiments

3.3 Sampling Design

 

12

                     13

                   14

October 1

October 3

October 5

 3.4 Toward Statistical Inference

4.1 Randomness

4.2 Probability Models

 

                      

Quiz 2

15

                                                                          16

17

October 8

October 10

October 12

 4.3 Random Variables

4.4 Means & Variances of Random

FALL BREAK

 

Variables

 

                                                                                     18

                                                                19

 

October 15

October 17

October 19

 

EXAM 2

5.1  Sampling Distributions for count and

Review

on chapters  3 and 4

Proportions

20

21

22

October 22

October 24

October 26

5.2 The Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean

6.1 Estimating with Confidence

 6.2 Tests of Significance

 

 

Quiz 3

23

24

25

October 29

October  31

November 2

6.2 Contd.

6.3 Use and Abuse of Tests

  6.4 Power and  Inference as a Decision

26

27

                                                                28

November 5

November 7

November 9

6.4 (continued)

 

EXAM 3

 

Review

on chapters  5 and 6

 29

30

31

November 12

November 14

November 16

7.1 Inference for the Mean of a Population

7.2 Comparing Two Means

7.2 Contd.

32

33

34

November 19

November 21

November 23

 8.1 Inference for a Single Proportion

8.2 Comparing Two Proportions

THANKS GIVING-No Classes

 

Quiz 4

 

35

36

 

November 26

November 28

November 30

8.2 (continued)

9.1 Data Analysis for Two-Way Tables

9.1  (continued)

 

 

Quiz 5

37

38

 

December 3