Lecture 7
UNEMPLOYMENT


1. Measuring unemployment

  • Current Population Survey of about 60,000 households every month

  • Who is counted as employed?

  • Who is counted as unemployed?

    • Person doesn't have a job, and
    • Has actively looked for jobs during previous week, or was temporarily laid off

  • Discouraged workers are not in the labor force

  • Unemployment rate

      u = 100 x No. of unemployed/Labor force


2. Types of unemployment

  • Frictional unemployment: Workers between jobs

  • Structural unemployment: Due to changes in technology

  • Cyclical unemployment: Linked to the business cycle

  • Seasonal unemployment: Linked to the seasons


3. Full employment

  • Does not mean zero unemployment (WHY?)

  • Potential GDP (also full-employment output)

  • The natural rate of unemployment (u*)

    The natural rate of unemployment (NAIRU) is the rate of unemployment arising from all sources except fluctuations in aggregate demand. (BLS)


4. Unemployment insurance

  • Serves as an automatic stabilizer:
    Unemployment benefits tend to cushion the effects of a recession

  • Effect on job search?


5. Costs of high unemployment

  • Loss in real GDP due to idle resources

  • Actual GDP vs. Potential GDP (or full-employment output)


6. Comparison of labor markets in US and EU

  • Flexible vs rigid labor markets:
    The ease with which employers can fire workers

  • The generosity of the unemployment benefits scheme

Bureau of Labor Statistics

How is unemployment measured, and who measures it? Go to the BLS's FAQ page.

Recent changes in unemployment

Unemployment


BLS data

Source: BLS

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