Lecture 4
ECONOMIES OF SCALE AND INTRA-INDUSTRY TRADE
1. Shortcomings of the Heckscher-Ohlin model
- Predictions of the model may not match data
- Factor price equalization
- Leontief Paradox
- Assumptions are unrealistic
- No explanation for intra-industry trade
2. Increasing returns to scale
- Average cost decreases as firm produces more output
- Contrast with assumption in traditional theories of trade:
- Ricardian model
- Specific-Factors model
- Heckscher-Ohlin model
3. Imperfect competition
- Small number of firms in an industry
- Firms produce differentiated products
- Possible strategic interaction between firms
- Example: Duopoly (Kodak and Fuji)
3.1 Monopolistic competition
- Decreasing average cost
- As output rises, firm's average cost declines
- Same as IRTS
- Many firms producing a slightly differentiated good
- Several varieties
- Consumers prefer variety
- Example: Several makes of cars
4. International trade
- Provides a larger market for firms
- Leads to lower costs of production (Why?)
- More varieties of goods are produced
- Explanation for intra-industry trade:
- Country A will specialize in certain varieties
- Country B will specialize in the other varieties
5. Pattern of trade
5.1 Inter-industry trade
- Comparative advantage on the basis of:
- Differences in labor productivity (Ricardian model)
- Differences in factor endowments (H-O model)
5.2 Intra-industry trade
- Which country produces what varieties?
- Historical accident!!
6. External economies of scale
- Cost per unit decreases with size of industry (not necessarily the size of a firm):
- Individual firm's AC depends on the industry output
- Typically, in such an industry, you have many small firms in perfect competition
- Financial firms clustered on Wall Street; computer firms in Silicon Valley
6.1 Pattern of specialization
- Determined by historical accident
- May run counter to comparative advantage:
- The low-cost producer may not be the one producing the good
6.2 Trade and welfare
- In the absence of trade, a country could:
- Produce at lower unit cost, and
- Enjoy greater welfare!!
- Does this justify protectionism?
7. Dynamic Increasing Returns
- Economies of scale from accumulation of knowledge ("from eternity to here")
- Learning curve:
- Unit cost declines with cumulative output (over time)
- Pioneer versus follower:
- Country with experience (pioneer)
- The pioneer may continue to produce the good despite having higher costs than that of a follower
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